Wednesday, March 11, 2015

EIA: Scheduled 2015 capacity additions as a rule wind, natural gas

In 2015, electric generating companies expect to make use of more than 20 gigawatts (GW) including utility-scale generating capacity to the power power. The additions are dominated by the wind (9. 8 GW), petroleum (6. 3 GW), and energy (2. 2 GW), which mix the three to make up 91% of entirety additions. Because different types of generating volume have very different utilization rates, accompanied by nuclear plants and natural gas combined-cycle generators having utilization factors 3 to 5 times those of wind and energy generators, capacity measures alone typically directly show how much generation is absolutely provided by new capacity of each source. Nearly 16 GW of generating volume is expected to retire in 2015, 81% of which (12. 9 GW) is coal-fired generation.

The addition of a little more natural gas, solar, and wind performing capacity follows the pattern while using past several years. Although most locations have a planned addition of some kind this year, a few trends have came about:

Wind additions are largely found on the Plains states, with not exactly 8. 4 GW, or 85% of total wind additions, seen between North Dakota and Mn in the north, to Texas and additionally New Mexico in the south.

Utility-scale solar additions of systems accompanied by at least one megawatt of capacity are perhaps dominated by two states—California (1. 2 GW) and North Carolina (0. 4 GW)—which combined for 73% of total solar additions. Often states have renewable portfolio level (RPS) policies in place, with West Carolina's policy including a solar-specific particular. These figures do not include small installations such as residential rooftop energy photovoltaic systems.

Natural gas additions are perhaps spread throughout the country, but State of texas is adding more than double any other nation (1. 7 GW, 27% including total natural gas additions). There are also a wide selection of additions in the Mid-Atlantic region, using more than 1 . 6 GW, or 26% of total natural gas additions, awaited in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, and additionally Maryland.

Tennessee Valley Authority's W Bar 2 nuclear facility present in southeastern Tennessee, with a summer nameplate capacity of 1. 1 GW, happens to be listed as coming online keep away from 2015. When it comes online, it will be the primary new nuclear reactor brought on line in the United States in nearly 20 years.

Such values reflect reported additions and additionally retirements, not model projections. Can really help years, expected capacity additions keep away from were much higher than in any other month or two. The impending expiration of certain taxing credits on December 31 all too often encourages a rush of effort to start or complete projects in conclusion of the year, depending on how the finance is awarded. Large reported records in December are also attributable to how answerers complete the survey; many throws expected to begin operation sometime in 2015 are conservatively estimated for a The holiday season completion date.

Generator retirements are perhaps heavily composed of coal-fired generation, accompanied by nearly 13 GW expected to develop into retired in 2015. The total including scheduled coal-fired generating capacity retirements is split between 10. the GW of bituminous coal and additionally 2 . 8 GW of subbituminous coal. Most of this retiring fossil fuel capacity is found in the Appalachian place: slightly more than 8 GW pooled in Ohio, West Virginia, Kentucky, Virginia, and Indiana.

The coal-fired units planned to be retired are perhaps smaller and operate at a scaled down capacity factor than average coal-fired units in the United States. The to-be-retired storage units have an average summer nameplate volume of 158 MW, considerably less space-consuming than the 261 MW average to have other coal-fired units. Based on 2013 data, the retiring units have a nice weighted-average capacity factor of 24%, which is much lower than the average volume factor of 60% for all coal-fired generators over the same time frame.

The top number of coal-fired generator retirements is now primarily because of the implementation of the Topographical Protection Agency's Mercury and Air conditioner Toxics Standards (MATS) this year, although some people might units have been granted extensions enterprise through April 2016. MATS will require large coal- and oil-fired thrilling generators to meet stricter emissions values by incorporating emissions control technologies present in existing generating facilities. Some engine power operators have decided that retrofitting storage units to meet the new standards will be cost-prohibitive and are choosing to retire storage units instead.

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